@article{171541, author = {Ole Agersnap and Owen Zidar}, title = {The Tax Elasticity of Capital Gains and Revenue-Maximizing Rates}, abstract = {
This paper uses a direct-projections approach to estimate the effect of capital gains taxation on realizations at the state level and then develops a framework for determining revenue-maximizing rates at the federal level. We find that the elasticity of revenues with respect to the tax rate over a 10-year period is\ -0.5 to\ -0.3,\ indicating that capital gains tax cuts do not pay for themselves and that a 5 percent- age point rate increase would yield $18 to $30 billion in annual federal tax revenue. Our long-run estimates yield revenue-maximizing capital gains tax rates of 38 to 47 percent.
}, year = {2021}, journal = {American Economic Review: Insights}, volume = {3}, pages = {399-416}, url = {https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/aeri.20200535}, language = {eng}, }